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Market Developments and Economic Indicators Drive US Equity Futures


US equity futures showed a modest rise as investors anticipated a wave of economic data releases and the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting. Nasdaq 100 contracts increased by 0.2%, attempting to shake off the impact of Tesla’s disappointing earnings. While Tesla shares declined in premarket trading, positive results from International Business Machines Corp., American Airlines Group Inc., and Blackstone Inc. contributed to market optimism.

Intel Corp. also saw gains ahead of its earnings report, contrasting with disappointing reports from European chipmaker STMicroelectronics NV and South Korea’s SK Hynix Inc. Despite some setbacks, investors remain confident in the prospect of lower interest rates and sustained economic growth.

The ECB is expected to maintain rates at 4%, with market attention focused on the statement and post-meeting conference for insights into future actions. While an April rate cut is anticipated by the markets, ECB officials appear to be leaning towards a move in June.

In the US, economic data is expected to reveal a 2% annualised expansion in the fourth quarter. Additional figures, including inventories, new home sales, and weekly unemployment claims, will provide a snapshot of the economy ahead of the next Federal Reserve meeting.

A key concern for risk assets is the Treasury market, where long-dated yields have been rising. The 30-year yield eased slightly after reaching a yearly high, while 10-year yields hover around 4.16%, marking a more than 20 basis points increase this year.

Corporate news includes Boeing Co. experiencing a drop in shares after the FAA halted planned increases in 737 Max production. Wizz Air shares slid due to missed estimates, attributed to canceled Israel flights. Nokia Oyj anticipates improvement in the second half of the year, and Alaska Air Group Inc. faces slower growth and a $150 million financial hit following a midair incident.

Comcast Corp.’s Peacock streaming service gained 2.8 million new subscribers during the NFL Wild Card Game on Jan. 14. Las Vegas Sands showed premarket trading growth after posting Q4 revenue that exceeded estimates.

Key events for the week include the ECB rate decision, Germany’s IFO business climate, US GDP, jobless claims, durable goods, and new home sales. Additionally, Japan’s Tokyo CPI and the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting minutes will be closely watched.

Market movements as of now show a 0.4% decline in the Stoxx Europe 600, with S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures relatively stable. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose by 0.3%, and the MSCI Emerging Markets Index gained 0.5%.

In the currency market, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index remained unchanged, while commodities saw Brent crude rising to $80.71 a barrel, and spot gold maintaining stability. Cryptocurrencies exhibited mixed movements, with Bitcoin rising and Ether falling slightly.

Bonds saw the yield on 10-year Treasuries declining, Germany’s 10-year yield advancing, and Britain’s 10-year yield also showing an uptick. The market continues to navigate various economic indicators and corporate developments in a dynamic landscape.

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